Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3f96d0acc3f9e54e653b29f5c6f3f88f06aa4645b66a4080cedd0d3edb8cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 16,619$9,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,378.16 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 56c | 7,534$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 58c | 4,999$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 58c | 3,971$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.19 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 45c | 3,927$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.13 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 58c | 2,982$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.56 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 44c | 2,727$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 44c | 2,692$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 42c | 2,365$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…f70dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,312$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…1909backed Yes | 44c | 2,280$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 42c | 2,259$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.57 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 45c | 2,182$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…1e9dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,862$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…aec9backed No | 58c | 1,619$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 41c | 1,210$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,089$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 18c | 979.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 826.67$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.49 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 27c | 811.19$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.64 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 56c | 799.97$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 754$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 44c | 692.42$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 59c | 614.85$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 41c | 597.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Yes | 44c | 573.52$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 55c | 546.28$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.66 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 44c | 512$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 58c | 492.1$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 45c | 445.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 436.21$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 58c | 433.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…e1dfbacked Yes | 44c | 388.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Yes | 21c | 388.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 56c | 384.75$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 59c | 378.73$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 43c | 375.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 59c | 359.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 57c | 346.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.87 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 44c | 342.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…62a8backed Yes | 29c | 333.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 41c | 308.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 67c | 306.61$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked No | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed No | 57c | 293.19$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…fe86backed Yes | 42c | 283.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 17c | 266.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes | 45c | 260.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed No | 58c | 260.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 44c | 256.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 41c | 243.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 44c | 236.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Yes | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…2c7ebacked Yes | 44c | 202.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6c58backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Yes | 43c | 178.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 169.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 45c | 166.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 44c | 157.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…3345backed Yes | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 16c | 150.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…b8a5backed No | 58c | 142.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 42c | 119.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…e842backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 38c | 118.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Yes | 42c | 114.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…21f5backed Yes | 44c | 113.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…81cdbacked Yes | 42c | 106.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…d345backed Yes | 42c | 102.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4c82backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Czechia win on 2025-10-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.