Fifa International · resolved market
Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6f9e65b4be60fefd91d157671f9564ce40d3d632b44b8c8d6b2ddb2d24181ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 30c | 23,335$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,335.17 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 9,183$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.12 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 7,730$5,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410.74 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 6,346$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.59 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 2,633$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 2,073$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.68 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 60c | 2,023$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 29c | 1,914$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.79 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,641$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.6 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 70c | 1,466$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.03 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 66c | 984.8$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.32 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 73c | 773$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 29c | 690.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 73c | 655$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.15 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 39c | 348.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 29c | 345.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 304.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 36c | 285$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 55c | 202.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 70c | 199.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 43c | 184.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 130.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…e842backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…b906backed Yes | 78c | 81.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 56.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…4c0abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 64c | 45.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked No | 63c | 41.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Yes | 60c | 23.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?this page
- Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09?No won
- Will Czechia win on 2025-10-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.