TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Finland win on 2025-10-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad94…85b1backed No37c15,176$5,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,542.297630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No8c8,733$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.7628731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes43c5,757$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.487929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No36c5,585$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.585538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c5,573$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No35c5,135$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.1312525.6%32 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes62c4,617$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.4723622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes65c4,615$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No70c3,952$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.6124647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.58940.4%36 W · 53 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.52965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes66c1,534$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.972236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54022041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes24c1,321$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.0417345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No34c1,105$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3821140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No36c1,050$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.8560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes36c1,000$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.54346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x958c…4d8abacked Yes64c957.25$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe63e…710ebacked Yes62c808.11$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+126.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No34c780.15$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8921016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes64c643.75$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22813826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes64c581.6$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.628240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No38c516.91$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6134630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No45c438$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.122959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes67c432.78$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.782352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c428.21$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.333,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No37c401.61$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.026333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes64c348.44$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.447842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No66c347$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.021,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes64c334.66$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No28c307.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.661931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes63c304.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9422749.3%112 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed Yes65c300$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1065238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No54c279.03$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.634235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2738…6412backed Yes61c250$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x919a…c017backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d19…bb47backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x166c…bf05backed No37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes62c199.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.999642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a5…e1dfbacked Yes62c178.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes63c172.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.391,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes63c158$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.462138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.259667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9262…b123backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…6f12backed Yes66c151$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No35c135.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5238526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…bc00backed Yes64c126$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No38c121.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4312957.4%74 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2136038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes42c118.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.672245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes64c118.66$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.723638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes23c112.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6810366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Yes29c112$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.522040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked No36c110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid0%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes63c108$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.485070%35 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes64c107.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.593250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010944%48 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yes27c104$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.923735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ba…d345backed Yes64c103.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes64c101.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.565255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf69…aa05backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No33c99.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9839621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.774553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes37c96.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.071,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes32c95.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.683528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No36c90.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4120322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed No60c88.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes50c85.06$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.873259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes35c84.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.727830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes27c80.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.994254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x352a…ff24backed Yes62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbaa…2c7ebacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4178…d93cbacked Yes64c71.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.446043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No37c68.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Yes29c63.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4936349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No73c62.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2922242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…b151backed Yes67c55.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes44c52.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.18742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…4b3ebacked No38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb298…9862backed Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+75.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d6…30babacked Yes64c49.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes65c46.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4210149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…18c4backed Yes64c46.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9597…ed86backed Yes66c45.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe848…7348backed Yes44c44.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes64c39.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.334057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb8…450dbacked Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes64c34.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3822466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.