Fifa International · resolved market
Will Finland win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf630055345bcc423ab1ca259649410d2bdef49849ef133b95d2ec5878c7bf502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 15,176$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542.29 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 8c | 8,733$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.76 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 43c | 5,757$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.48 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 36c | 5,585$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.58 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 5,573$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 35c | 5,135$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.13 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 62c | 4,617$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.47 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 3,952$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.61 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 66c | 1,534$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,321$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.04 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 34c | 1,105$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.38 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 36c | 1,050$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.85 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…4d8abacked Yes | 64c | 957.25$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…710ebacked Yes | 62c | 808.11$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 34c | 780.15$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes | 64c | 643.75$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 64c | 581.6$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.62 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 516.91$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 45c | 438$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 67c | 432.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 428.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 37c | 401.61$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 64c | 348.44$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 66c | 347$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.02 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 64c | 334.66$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 28c | 307.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 63c | 304.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 54c | 279.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed Yes | 61c | 250$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…bb47backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…e1dfbacked Yes | 62c | 178.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 63c | 172.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…b123backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…6f12backed Yes | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 35c | 135.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…bc00backed Yes | 64c | 126$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 38c | 121.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 42c | 118.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 64c | 118.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 23c | 112.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Yes | 29c | 112$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 63c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Yes | 64c | 107.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 27c | 104$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…d345backed Yes | 64c | 103.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 99.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 37c | 96.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 32c | 95.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 36c | 90.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 60c | 88.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 50c | 85.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 35c | 84.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 27c | 80.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…ff24backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…2c7ebacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…d93cbacked Yes | 64c | 71.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 37c | 68.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Yes | 29c | 63.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 73c | 62.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Yes | 67c | 55.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes | 44c | 52.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…4b3ebacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb298…9862backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…30babacked Yes | 64c | 49.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 65c | 46.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…18c4backed Yes | 64c | 46.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…ed86backed Yes | 66c | 45.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…7348backed Yes | 44c | 44.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 64c | 39.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…450dbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will Finland vs. Lithuania end in a draw?No won
- Will Lithuania win on 2025-10-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.