Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCSB vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19e7f37fce7b1bacd826d18b507d758fcf375623c6463e8a3c7ee75e47e7930f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ae…f0d4backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644d…a26ebacked No | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…e7bbbacked No | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 71c | 2,177$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.24 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,780$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 29c | 1,725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 29c | 1,451$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…0931backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 8c | 979.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 955.28$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.48 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 29c | 261.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 71c | 255.44$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 19c | 137$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 131.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 72c | 73.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…a9e5backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 28c | 41.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCSB vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?this page
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-10-02?Yes won
- Will FCSB win on 2025-10-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.