TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked No25c15,452$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,834.967354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c10,253$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,825.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No24c5,273$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.7735942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9881…446fbacked Yes71c2,988$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No5c2,794$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Yes18c2,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.993112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c2,259$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…63b7backed Yes76c2,086$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No53c2,041$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.9134630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed Yes18c1,822$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.882722.2%6 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes74c1,606$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.473132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7656939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No32c1,263$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No64c1,066$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.6214537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…4927backed Yes75c1,015$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.741855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No19c999.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18621444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes20c999.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No11c948.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4717629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes22c925.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.8530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9222650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No28c800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2243141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No70c584.57$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…a206backed Yes18c555.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.891421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes16c521.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.7421016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d7…e943backed Yes39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3052181%17 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+45.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.192263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes77c456.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.235431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Yes72c355.1$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.434763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes79c353.09$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.094161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes19c314$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.144544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes19c265.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5316925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes19c264.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.831216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No20c251.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.189633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No30c245.83$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.33925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c242.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9455045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No20c233.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.613745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.131942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No20c174.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…d4ecbacked Yes70c174.56$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.371625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No14c173.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.913131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes70c153.27$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.983246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes17c149.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.739621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Yes17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.061747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x017b…4e46backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8913843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8910263.7%65 W · 37 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2886…0e62backed No22c129.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x817a…921fbacked Yes80c126.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d6…21f7backed Yes24c124.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.32850%4 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+91.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed No19c117.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.94839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77e…6adcbacked Yes72c115$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2810454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6252…495dbacked Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab58…b07dbacked No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe52c…33a6backed No29c99.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+115.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No29c98.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.28145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…d074backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.245532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb033…9e1bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3faa…feb4backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+101.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked No74c94.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702055%11 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Yes78c63.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe12…160cbacked Yes73c62.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1450…ab3bbacked Yes72c62.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked No29c59.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.024751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06aa…52d9backed Yes19c57.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No79c56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.246966.7%46 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed No79c56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.243857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.563959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff62…ea23backed Yes47c52.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+155.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No39c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.428754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed Yes63c49.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No78c45.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4528133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes53c42.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9722959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9cf…18e5backed Yes60c40.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f5…5d82backed Yes80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288226.8%22 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19a7…3ec1backed Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe217…ecf9backed Yes78c38.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bea…1c10backed Yes80c37.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed Yes72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+48.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No61c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.683164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes79c31.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.511330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d3…3d7abacked No79c31.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.571838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed No80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a4abacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f96…a226backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+114.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.