Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bulgaria vs. Georgia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x311af1b75e264701badd426235375d90294bf39c8b3ce3ca3e493a8e458e8c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 5,041$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 29c | 2,365$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.71 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 27c | 1,549$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,478$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 638.3$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 465.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 4c | 418.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…d672backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…01c8backed Yes | 12c | 297.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 195$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 23c | 193.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 75c | 186.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…7aa1backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 15c | 95.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…1f68backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…c90fbacked Yes | 26c | 41.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5b46backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 76c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bulgaria vs. Georgia end in a draw?this page
- Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
- Will Georgia win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.