Fifa International · resolved market
FIFA Friendlies Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d91e6ab481adfd1873f37448c806e9754f4e2ec84a74e5beb585566939f8353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 57c | 469.73$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…812dbacked No | 54c | 313.62$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 53c | 283.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 36c | 168.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…f48dbacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 54c | 129.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…b99cbacked No | 47c | 111.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 47c | 69.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…0239backed Yes | 49c | 62.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 52c | 48.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…5e08backed Yes | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b60ebacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…08dabacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…ff05backed No | 50c | 39.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…9f33backed Yes | 54c | 37.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +347.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.