Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a41ef39acc8cc8146d81055ad17dee2263e6e2cb82e5ef796d578b196df4361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 32c | 50,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.96 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 47c | 18,732$8,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,928.05 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 10,261$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 6,819$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.33 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 50c | 5,899$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.81 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 4,576$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 45c | 2,334$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.26 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 50c | 2,246$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.34 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 50c | 1,458$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.14 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,328$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.81 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 54c | 957.62$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 50c | 880$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 50c | 791.1$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.2 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 51c | 726$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.14 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 609.98$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.86 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 422.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.94 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 46c | 323.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 320.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 25c | 309.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.27 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 299.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 36c | 286.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 39c | 269.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…b875backed Yes | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…3a5ebacked No | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 49c | 204.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 51c | 195.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes | 51c | 177.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 113.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 50c | 99.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 43c | 99.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 25c | 82.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 41c | 78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbf…79f6backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…d550backed Yes | 63c | 67.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 22c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed Yes | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…f2e8backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 79cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 57c | 34.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…c537backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…f07ebacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 45c | 22.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…adf5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…185cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.