College Football · resolved market
Air Force vs. San Jose State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee490ec8273bd15b9c3b50eb14dce5e5a7b90087a5038a80dfe00ff611a3237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Air Forceof Air Force, San Jose State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $690,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Air Force | 34c | 467,931$157,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310,723.62 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed San Jose State | 66c | 74,947$49,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,614.29 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed San Jose State | 53c | 60,437$31,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,994.13 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed San Jose State | 66c | 60,000$39,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,600 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked San Jose State | 66c | 45,350$29,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,931 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed San Jose State | 60c | 35,303$21,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,036.2 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked San Jose State | 67c | 33,000$22,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,110 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed San Jose State | 67c | 31,989$21,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,454.64 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked San Jose State | 67c | 16,461$11,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,028.87 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Jose State | 66c | 16,000$10,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,560 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked San Jose State | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked San Jose State | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Air Force | 72c | 14,088$10,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,994.22 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Air Force | 33c | 11,908$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,981.81 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed San Jose State | 66c | 11,111$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.26 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed San Jose State | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed San Jose State | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State | 66c | 9,950$6,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,566.9 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Air Force | 76c | 9,176$7,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked San Jose State | 66c | 7,596$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.91 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed San Jose State | 66c | 7,500$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked San Jose State | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Air Force | 58c | 6,854$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.3 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked San Jose State | 19c | 6,768$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.24 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Air Force | 56c | 5,720$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.07 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Air Force | 33c | 5,000$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked San Jose State | 66c | 3,636$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed San Jose State | 67c | 3,500$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.5 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed San Jose State | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Air Force | 60c | 2,754$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.55 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed San Jose State | 65c | 2,665$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.05 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Jose State | 20c | 2,320$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.01 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Air Force | 70c | 2,108$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed San Jose State | 67c | 1,853$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.53 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked San Jose State | 67c | 1,745$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.96 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Jose State | 54c | 1,607$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.66 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed San Jose State | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Jose State | 28c | 1,255$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.93 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Jose State | 66c | 1,182$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.6 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed San Jose State | 67c | 1,130$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Jose State | 24c | 1,030$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed San Jose State | 66c | 1,027$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.36 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Air Force | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed San Jose State | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Air Force | 77c | 932.35$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked San Jose State | 36c | 832.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed San Jose State | 25c | 792.32$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed San Jose State | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed San Jose State | 55c | 614.12$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed San Jose State | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked San Jose State | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked San Jose State | 67c | 500$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Air Force | 64c | 485.2$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked San Jose State | 3c | 480.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Air Force | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked San Jose State | 66c | 398$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Air Force | 35c | 344$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…1323backed Air Force | 69c | 343.42$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed San Jose State | 22c | 329.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Air Force | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Air Force | 73c | 272.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked San Jose State | 67c | 253.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…8c3cbacked Air Force | 79c | 252.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked San Jose State | 35c | 250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Air Force | 68c | 247.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…9df2backed Air Force | 75c | 227.26$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed San Jose State | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Air Force | 32c | 199.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Air Force | 32c | 198.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Air Force | 32c | 198.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed San Jose State | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Air Force | 32c | 186.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Air Force | 33c | 172$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed San Jose State | 21c | 166.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Air Force | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed San Jose State | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked San Jose State | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed San Jose State | 7c | 149.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked San Jose State | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked San Jose State | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State | 67c | 149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked San Jose State | 19c | 139.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed San Jose State | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Air Force | 79c | 126.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed San Jose State | 61c | 123.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Air Force | 34c | 110$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed San Jose State | 38c | 106.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Air Force | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Air Force | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Air Force | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Air Force | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Air Force | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked San Jose State | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Jose State | 57c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Air Force | 65c | 79.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…1a68backed Air Force | 74c | 77.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…8adfbacked Air Force | 34c | 72.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked San Jose State | 67c | 69.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Air Force | 79c | 69.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed Air Force | 80c | 62.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Air Force vs. San Jose Statethis page
- Air Force vs. San Jose State: O/U 65.5Under won
- Air Force vs. San Jose State: O/U 66.5Under won
- O/U 67.5Under won
- Spread: San Jose State (-5.5)Air Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.