TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c16,525$7,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,150.9123633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No57c7,961$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5008930.3%27 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes43c5,130$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.983652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c4,951$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.161,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c4,225$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.655,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c4,036$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.072,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No56c3,646$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.9862652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c2,639$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.751,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No56c2,066$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.833842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes44c2,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1302842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.962528%7 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No58c1,710$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes42c1,710$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes46c1,300$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.798457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No56c1,199$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.393650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes48c1,052$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.676747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No56c999.9$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No56c984.37$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.251838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes43c541.94$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3412535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c434.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1753148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No53c405.2$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.139141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes48c368.1$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.625121.6%11 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes44c295.45$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.451145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed Yes45c280.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No56c258.57$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1427540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d2…c6dabacked Yes33c256.82$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Yes42c247$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No53c243.91$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.272528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No50c226.74$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.117945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Yes36c217$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No42c215.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.837429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes42c210$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083020%6 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes50c201.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…2ba1backed Yes43c182.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c176.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9662349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No58c173.7$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.581060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No58c169.35$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.921957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed No62c150$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No43c146.71$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2130750.8%156 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes45c146.05$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.712748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes69c145.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes46c129.84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.841850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No56c129$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0315133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Yes44c125.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f01…8bd0backed No58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes38c113.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.191936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fca…6129backed Yes42c111$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes46c104.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.534533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes60c102.08$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes44c100.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6426749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.916145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No40c85.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0713153.4%70 W · 61 L+14.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No58c81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6379435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4033552.8%177 W · 158 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes41c78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.021030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No56c75.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.355523.6%13 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Yes41c73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.071225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes48c72.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+56.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes42c69.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611059.1%65 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Yes49c67.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.678254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3d…aaa3backed Yes26c62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.881631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Yes43c59.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes44c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes41c57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Yes38c56.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.782657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed No55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf987…6ea7backed No59c53.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Yes41c53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Yes42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes44c45.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.593262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes42c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+68.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cc7…3d14backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Yes41c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.191369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Yes41c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes37c40.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes55c37.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7213855.8%77 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes30c34.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5896.7%6 W · 83 L-22.4wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-78.2%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0x8749…c11bbacked Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes47c32.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed No59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick67cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed No59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.