TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c2,857$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.7623633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No71c2,728$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.993652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802528%7 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x457c…fa41backed No68c1,491$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe93c…d9c7backed Yes32c1,489$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c1,298$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.162652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb115…103ebacked No73c1,140$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb536…eda7backed Yes27c1,100$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes24c998.43$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7615133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes52c689.92$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.271442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No70c577.34$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.22842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c511.95$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1362349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c375.91$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.881,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed No67c373.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No70c370.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.33850%19 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes9c312$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes30c286.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes28c276.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.222250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Yes31c227$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.372751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No52c225.92$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.737429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Yes5c225$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes28c193$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0413533.3%45 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes27c179.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes28c160$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Yes29c152$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c140.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.575,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes28c134$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.521118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes31c127$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.371931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes28c103.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Yes32c102$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-75%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked No68c94$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.087100%7 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes31c92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.522065%13 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+54.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Yes31c92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.521030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes33c91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.033354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes21c89.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.027945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c79.53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8453148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes20c75.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.229141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Yes31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes27c64.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.311540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Yes29c62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b0…07bfbacked Yes28c60.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-61.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No67c57.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.855450%27 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes31c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes29c53.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65523.6%13 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed No70c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Yes27c53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No66c50.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.26940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked No69c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed No68c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Yes30c40.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed No68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c28…28e3backed No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+94.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked No71c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8749…c11bbacked No70c32.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed No71c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.28580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed No69c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.746100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked No69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed No69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked No69c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked No68c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed No69c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.06580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed No69c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed No69c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.753100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed No69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed No71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked No69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed No69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed No69c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No70c19.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked No69c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7c…1214backed No71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.935100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed No69c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.274100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked No69c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed No69c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked No73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed No69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed No69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed No69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.