NHL · resolved market
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Calgary Wranglers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b112df02a6878a4ca6d74701c6e22de675bf344ecea068c0e47410e2934ab31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Eaglesof Colorado Eagles, Calgary Wranglers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cef…6321backed Calgary Wranglers | 38c | 399.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colorado Eagles | 61c | 224.57$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Calgary Wranglers | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Calgary Wranglers | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…b4eebacked Colorado Eagles | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 149$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…622cbacked Colorado Eagles | 62c | 122.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Calgary Wranglers | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Calgary Wranglers | 39c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Calgary Wranglers | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…e0dfbacked Colorado Eagles | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Calgary Wranglers | 38c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Calgary Wranglers | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Calgary Wranglers | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Colorado Eagles | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Colorado Eagles | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Colorado Eagles | 60c | 42.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Calgary Wranglers | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…d3dcbacked Colorado Eagles | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Colorado Eagles | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Colorado Eagles | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…3d14backed Colorado Eagles | 64c | 27.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Colorado Eagles | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Colorado Eagles | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Colorado Eagles | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Colorado Eagles | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.