Premier League · resolved market
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc761f8aff7d3b9636aa598fb6c2044481a4e224fe4919e583fccd199d94215ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 8,181$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 5,708$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.21 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 4,431$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.65 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 35c | 3,797$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.95 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…d9f5backed Yes | 55c | 3,643$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 36c | 3,182$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.82 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 2,154$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 1,969$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.84 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 20c | 1,500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 1c | 1,496$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 1,042$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.28 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 64c | 948.11$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.32 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 775.56$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.2 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 740.49$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 37c | 648.65$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 505.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Yes | 66c | 457.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 64c | 417.87$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 320.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 65c | 281.51$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed No | 26c | 260.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 36c | 212.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 79c | 174.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 66c | 171.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 58c | 167.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 159.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5853…dc28backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…2337backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…81ebbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 34c | 44.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…4ac4backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed No | 36c | 33.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…3d14backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked No | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…c55abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 36c | 28.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 66c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a4…e909backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…0e96backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.