Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e629995963b33abff790a5e9458b4b10fb8b041d5563e343d2d88baefb4080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 3,652$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked Over | 55c | 1,600$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,095$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…3ce3backed Under | 77c | 975.69$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…dff2backed Over | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 73c | 460$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 459.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 79c | 455.7$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…f361backed Under | 77c | 423.77$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 398.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 17c | 367.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 69c | 245$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 62c | 233.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Over | 55c | 222.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 21c | 180.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 24c | 137$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 59c | 121.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 22c | 112.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Over | 77c | 105.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -5.7wins | -0.57per pick | 67cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…5a08backed Over | 61c | 90.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 78c | 88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 73.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 42c | 70.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked Over | 25c | 53.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 22c | 52.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 56c | 37.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Under | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Under | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Under | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Under | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Under | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Under | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Over | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Under | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Under | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Under | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Under | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.