Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x495445363a5433bcd667774a349f42c125f5129442a48cc835fbbc929e9e6b01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 2,170$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.69 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,621$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…b26dbacked Over | 62c | 1,117$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 58c | 1,021$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 948.18$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 77c | 667.77$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 419.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 331.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 63c | 318$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…ace2backed Over | 62c | 253$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 36c | 243.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 33c | 233.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 176.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Over | 63c | 145.08$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 66c | 104.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…42b5backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 91.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 90.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 64c | 74.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Under | 37c | 48.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Under | 37c | 48.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Under | 37c | 47.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 44.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 37.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Over | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 58c | 30.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…2347backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8ccdbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.