Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca76be5f07ceda881984271562dfd724772faba61f8d22e801057acbe4400793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,201$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 3,161$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 41c | 1,704$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.27 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 21c | 1,244$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.56 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 67c | 656.72$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 45c | 508.02$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 334.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 39c | 287$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 50c | 228.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 48c | 167.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Over | 44c | 147.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Under | 54c | 93.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 68c | 92.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…9385backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Over | 38c | 63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 49.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…2fa7backed Over | 44c | 45.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 44c | 45.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked Under | 58c | 40.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 68c | 36.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…f882backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…9578backed Under | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 50c | 28.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 58c | 25.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.