Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x509d83d1befe035bbf82b8c99de1f4154be6c89ff227bed5e6548596664002aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 9,422$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 43c | 895.04$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 66c | 757.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 703.46$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 630.36$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Under | 64c | 629.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Over | 41c | 499.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Under | 34c | 431$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Under | 34c | 313.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Over | 4c | 297.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…c7febacked Under | 59c | 236.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Over | 38c | 192.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Over | 38c | 176.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 16c | 149.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 19c | 132.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 15c | 114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 44c | 113.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 64c | 110.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 70c | 92.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 18c | 77.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 18c | 60.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 34c | 51.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 42c | 47.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 47.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9123…dee4backed Under | 65c | 41.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 55c | 33.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x330e…c22abacked Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked Over | 45c | 22.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5Over won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.