TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes35c102,629$35,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,733.099159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c41,635$27,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,055.0862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No13c24,999$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.928944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed No65c7,000$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c5,864$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.631,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c5,364$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.091,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked No0c4,215$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-77.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes61c3,083$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c3,054$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.8187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes58c3,048$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.769863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9505060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9506060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No62c2,747$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.1415455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes37c2,520$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.65745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No66c2,424$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No42c2,143$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No2c2,133$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.462119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No65c2,086$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.0117043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c1,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.2471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes66c1,509$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No62c1,424$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.6712839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No60c1,368$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.522835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes38c1,287$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.843138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c1,231$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.0124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed No21c1,000$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Yes35c878.77$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No60c827$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.22347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes36c819$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.3912050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No65c815$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.755942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes60c602.82$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1326660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed No28c560$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c424$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2914337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No60c423.08$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.853748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No65c420$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27317756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No65c420$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27313655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No65c420$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2737163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No65c401.85$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.278942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c398$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes36c395.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2610838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No65c392.36$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2923151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes35c390.69$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25214045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No21c375.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked No65c350$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No65c330$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.511256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No65c330$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.511556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes41c310.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes26c289.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.531050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed No35c280.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.982450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No65c277.19$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.064362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b43…8ebdbacked Yes58c274.14$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes36c269.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.55364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb50f…c837backed No75c250$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.58460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No65c220$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1439355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed No22c202.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed No36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No33c191.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.185322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No65c190$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.58653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes63c182.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.42536%9 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No65c180$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1174562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No65c180$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1179158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.510653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.58755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.54759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes40c167.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.53860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No60c167.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No65c160$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No24c157.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.112832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked No65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46b3…8e69backed Yes19c153.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.57655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.54557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db5…79f4backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c140.42$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.214332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.