Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa71fc9e1315fccfa02541ad3e2e9f6cbe5aca650d86de79a97ab91a609dcc0b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 65c | 86,347$56,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,266.01 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 25,000$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 24,947$7,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,089.69 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 18,163$5,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,638.08 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…4daabacked No | 67c | 8,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 7,680$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.46 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 35c | 7,649$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.26 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 7,337$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.25 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…068abacked No | 70c | 6,797$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee5…b07abacked Yes | 30c | 6,797$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9329backed No | 70c | 6,697$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…4a6bbacked Yes | 30c | 6,697$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 65c | 6,300$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 36c | 4,331$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,309$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.9 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 66c | 3,653$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.01 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 75c | 3,091$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 73c | 2,188$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.87 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,818$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.83 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,736$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 66c | 1,531$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 65c | 1,500$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.79 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 1,014$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.08 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…cee0backed No | 66c | 890$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 790$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 35c | 767.07$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.83 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 65c | 736.01$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.74 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 686.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 35c | 628.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 35c | 622$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 66c | 571.43$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…4bbfbacked Yes | 35c | 569$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 30c | 558$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 70c | 520$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 36c | 483$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 35c | 481.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae80…186cbacked Yes | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 66c | 439$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 14c | 360.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 35c | 353.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 66c | 329.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9baf…bd11backed Yes | 35c | 320.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 68c | 308.47$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 66c | 300$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 285.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 274.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Yes | 33c | 265.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 33c | 253.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 64c | 242$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed No | 66c | 213.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed Yes | 35c | 136.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 73c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 134.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 9c | 112.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 67c | 104.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a2acbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…ad9abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked Yes | 29c | 93.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 64c | 87.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9eabacked Yes | 32c | 86.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 66c | 62.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 34c | 51.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 35c | 50.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…770dbacked Yes | 31c | 46.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…c3d4backed Yes | 31c | 45.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…008fbacked Yes | 31c | 39.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…2511backed No | 66c | 37.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 76c | 35.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 36c | 34.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 75c | 33.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Yes | 35c | 31.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…5c2ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will FC Nantes vs. Paris FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.