TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes50c6,705$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.991275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c5,615$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.424,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No49c5,034$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.6829545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c4,716$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.6430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes49c4,617$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+93.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c4,063$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.591,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c3,979$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.133,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes49c2,740$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.333151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Yes50c1,703$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.142161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes79c1,257$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9322859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c1,215$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.0374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes50c1,003$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.485651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004337.2%16 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes72c919.74$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes42c769$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.191546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No55c671.26$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.583542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes36c670$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.026933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No51c619.98$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.192035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes49c512.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.577534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c482$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6720159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes79c477.64$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5421842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes47c461.06$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.856033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes47c425.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5219344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes59c360.48$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1524047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d93…88babacked Yes46c354.8$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9a…b04fbacked No35c346$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes47c299.72$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8519652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes43c292.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.892552%13 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c8…616abacked No67c276$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.275250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+57%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No54c214.7$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9416926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Yes49c204.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.971060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065657.1%32 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes27c183.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3716036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No54c163.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.494334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Yes37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes41c157.9$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.164843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No47c148.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2312744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes68c134$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No47c131.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.729946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes71c125.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.818241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No54c120.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.17156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes30c118.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1116250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Yes35c114.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.292227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes31c109.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.726336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No52c109.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4928558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda8c…47eabacked Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+80%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5122740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde64…382ebacked Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3317036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de0…af02backed No55c82.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes49c80.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Yes46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.25345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7811249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Yes19c73.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.687636.8%28 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No66c65.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1615643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2217643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No54c64.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255f…dad2backed Yes47c63.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.81947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes48c55.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No53c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed No53c46.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.953729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.45752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.483943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No52c42.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9720452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No54c41.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.359250%46 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e1f…aa18backed Yes36c41.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2544…6221backed Yes34c39.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.281838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.937039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Yes45c29.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No74c25.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.98452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Yes46c25.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.664740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.753050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1384…12acbacked Yes47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.251540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked No50c23.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Yes46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed No58c19.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed No54c18.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.