La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x521cc3a6f2c23b8dc93bc4ba420fb4fec64cdb2c501c5c017492475980ed4919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,331$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.15 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 49c | 1,933$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.18 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,468$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.02 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 55c | 916.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 881.66$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.35 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed No | 49c | 813.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 50c | 538$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 74c | 529.08$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 43c | 523.97$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.39 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 452$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 24c | 403.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 229$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 77c | 170$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 151.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 77c | 111$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 73c | 97.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 28c | 66.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 66c | 50.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 68c | 50.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda8c…47eabacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +80%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Yes | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…616abacked Yes | 46c | 45.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 24c | 45.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 39.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…c2e3backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes | 48c | 30.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked No | 49c | 28.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed No | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 51c | 26.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 75c | 15.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-06?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.