La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc44c93b1c13a5bdc45239b8db9fed9dd0669b2c62c4cee38cfcffc3160acfdd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 29c | 4,667$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.42 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,981$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 32c | 3,139$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 2,462$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.95 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 1,312$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,281$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.35 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 65c | 600.02$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.94 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 505.4$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 30c | 331.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 71c | 175$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed No | 72c | 150.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 131.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 29c | 123$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…616abacked Yes | 24c | 116.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 28c | 61.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 60.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 55.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 70c | 44.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Yes | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 38.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 63c | 37.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 37c | 37.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 71c | 36.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 70c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked No | 73c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-06?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.