Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee819c0340838d0ea4664cbb620f85820769ec999312d99c4f49596daa5da24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 34c | 4,575$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.48 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 3,840$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 3,550$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.45 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 66c | 3,176$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.67 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,417$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…35fcbacked Yes | 66c | 2,260$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 1,805$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.66 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 1,239$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.22 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 1,189$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.18 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 33c | 894.07$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.03 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 66c | 878.14$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.64 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 2c | 740$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 77c | 734.42$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.81 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 554$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 532$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 66c | 483.84$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 33c | 362$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 36c | 343.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 65c | 327.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 67c | 293.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…4eeebacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 5c | 205.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 66c | 152.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 33c | 114.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…98e2backed Yes | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 32c | 78.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 44c | 49.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1d…c541backed No | 34c | 49.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 67c | 49.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 59c | 38.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 31.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…5ea2backed Yes | 55c | 28.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 25.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 66c | 25.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.