College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Tech (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1fb25e06d2d6860bf69403e9ec58044b048066963458a2bb6d861d6869b3a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Stateof Georgia Tech, NC State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Georgia Tech | 50c | 20,722$10,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,321 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed NC State | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked NC State | 50c | 6,720$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked NC State | 51c | 4,864$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Georgia Tech | 50c | 864$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked NC State | 49c | 556.55$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.84 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Georgia Tech | 51c | 497.73$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.84 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…9e3bbacked Georgia Tech | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…7ff5backed Georgia Tech | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…adf5backed Georgia Tech | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-4.5)this page
- Georgia Tech vs. NC StateNC State won
- Georgia Tech vs. NC State: 1H MoneylineNC State won
- Georgia Tech vs. NC State: O/U 58.5Over won
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-5.5)NC State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.