College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Tech (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0744d8d911aee52d95e4f829b0800eeb13a49433aaede0ac98cd45f81994d411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Stateof Georgia Tech, NC State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 34,772$16,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,555.51 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed NC State | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked NC State | 53c | 8,061$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.66 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked NC State | 53c | 6,377$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.36 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…1471backed NC State | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…84f4backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…4f34backed NC State | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked NC State | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…ea56backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…bbf3backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked NC State | 52c | 3,340$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.19 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…1866backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Georgia Tech | 49c | 2,009$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Georgia Tech | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…81a2backed NC State | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked NC State | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.36 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…3112backed NC State | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed NC State | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.41 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…a1b1backed NC State | 52c | 1,510$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 1,365$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.03 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed NC State | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.25 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Georgia Tech | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked NC State | 53c | 1,063$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Georgia Tech | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked NC State | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed NC State | 52c | 825.62$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.3 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…313bbacked NC State | 52c | 777$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…3af1backed NC State | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…8e2cbacked NC State | 52c | 650$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…0270backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…abadbacked Georgia Tech | 48c | 580$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…96fcbacked Georgia Tech | 48c | 525$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…e1c2backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 510$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed NC State | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…a1aabacked NC State | 52c | 460$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2f20backed NC State | 52c | 455$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked NC State | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgia Tech | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Georgia Tech | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…fce8backed NC State | 53c | 269.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Georgia Tech | 49c | 242$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Georgia Tech | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Georgia Tech | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed NC State | 53c | 189.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked NC State | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Georgia Tech | 49c | 81.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia Tech | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Georgia Tech | 48c | 54.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Georgia Tech | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked NC State | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…9e3bbacked Georgia Tech | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-5.5)this page
- Georgia Tech vs. NC StateNC State won
- Georgia Tech vs. NC State: 1H MoneylineNC State won
- Georgia Tech vs. NC State: O/U 58.5Over won
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia Tech (-4.5)NC State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.