NFL · resolved market
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6cb7ad03e2687d0befe8706bb9ac276b3d74c0a8c7e02bf3c6b796e25601c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf4d…d242backed No | 47c | 40,479$19,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,453.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…e725backed Yes | 53c | 40,479$21,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,453.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…2bf4backed Yes | 53c | 35,356$18,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,738.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…1d57backed No | 47c | 35,356$16,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,738.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…0382backed Yes | 53c | 34,793$18,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,440.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…a24bbacked No | 47c | 34,793$16,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,440.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…89cbbacked No | 47c | 34,217$16,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,135.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…b3dabacked Yes | 53c | 34,217$18,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,135.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…ebf7backed No | 47c | 31,509$14,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,699.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…3ed6backed Yes | 53c | 31,509$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,699.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…c5d0backed No | 65c | 12,113$7,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 47c | 12,065$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,671.4 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea95…5420backed Yes | 55c | 11,118$6,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,084.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 34c | 9,398$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.37 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed Yes | 55c | 5,647$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 51c | 4,737$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.77 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,493$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 45c | 2,607$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.92 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 36c | 2,133$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked No | 50c | 1,395$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.61 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 39c | 1,250$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 702.92$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.5 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed No | 68c | 673.01$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed No | 45c | 664.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.71 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed No | 45c | 630.2$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.61 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 33c | 596$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 52c | 564.32$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 44c | 487$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 32c | 478.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 64c | 428.46$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 73c | 403$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Yes | 54c | 383.5$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 48c | 377.22$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 63c | 303.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 60c | 248$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…85c5backed Yes | 27c | 230$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…ce5abacked Yes | 37c | 222$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 53c | 198.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35a…2157backed Yes | 53c | 187.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…8a69backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 48c | 165.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked No | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…7ff5backed No | 64c | 131.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 56c | 129$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +404.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…650abacked Yes | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 66c | 125.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 51c | 114.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 114.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0ae6backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a1…7237backed No | 48c | 108.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cb…9756backed Yes | 44c | 105.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 80c | 104.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…b3aebacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…2b84backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…d1d4backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…3ffebacked Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…9211backed Yes | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…c79abacked Yes | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbf…f7f9backed Yes | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 51c | 100.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…8979backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 53c | 99.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…ed87backed Yes | 43c | 95.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 49c | 89.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…7351backed No | 48c | 82.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…adf5backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 50c | 76.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eeb…a613backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…5bc5backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f5…7cfdbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…8722backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…9062backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 49c | 57.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 51c | 57.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…c5bfbacked No | 48c | 56.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…c110backed No | 48c | 50.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…e66fbacked Yes | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324a…a785backed Yes | 53c | 47.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…05ecbacked No | 48c | 46.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…85b1backed Yes | 54c | 46.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…9da9backed No | 48c | 43.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…7aafbacked No | 49c | 41.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…dfe0backed Yes | 44c | 39.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…b898backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…2acbbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?this page
- Will the Denver Broncos win the AFC West?Yes won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the AFC West?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.