TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Red Wings, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$358,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,349 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Red Wings64c187,330$119,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,438.9110349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Blackhawks36c30,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8003339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks36c28,340$10,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,194.6388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Blackhawks36c27,681$9,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,96514553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a8c…7fcfbacked Blackhawks36c25,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Blackhawks36c19,130$6,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,956.2151452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Blackhawks36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Blackhawks37c14,117$5,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,223.348354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Blackhawks37c9,000$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Blackhawks36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52011352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Red Wings64c6,999$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.6141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings56c6,137$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.881,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Red Wings63c6,020$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.5756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Blackhawks36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9827548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks35c5,961$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.61,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Blackhawks36c5,557$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings55c5,078$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.21,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Blackhawks36c4,970$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.224654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Blackhawks36c4,387$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings63c4,216$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.71,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Blackhawks36c4,166$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.7628652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blackhawks42c3,397$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.8430551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks36c3,347$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.8164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Blackhawks36c3,332$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.4530152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Blackhawks45c3,262$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4683158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Blackhawks2c3,079$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.79319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blackhawks36c2,899$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.6652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Blackhawks45c2,726$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.1248050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks36c2,700$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks35c2,468$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.632,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings63c2,237$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.561,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a10…543cbacked Red Wings57c2,136$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Blackhawks45c1,920$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86414848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings63c1,870$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.0654047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Blackhawks36c1,780$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.8822550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Blackhawks44c1,750$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7709052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2070…fd5bbacked Blackhawks1c1,699$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1254…cec1backed Red Wings65c1,667$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.451546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d96…0b38backed Blackhawks36c1,667$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Blackhawks35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9936038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Blackhawks36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Red Wings59c1,389$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.7616346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Red Wings65c1,385$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6247256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Blackhawks36c1,300$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46818547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blackhawks8c1,271$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9654418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Blackhawks38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45638046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44468449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Blackhawks36c1,194$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43020047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf7…b626backed Blackhawks37c1,152$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdaf…1aaebacked Red Wings63c1,152$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8f…dda2backed Red Wings63c1,111$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Blackhawks37c1,102$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blackhawks12c1,030$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks9c1,019$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.352,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Blackhawks36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed Blackhawks36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks36c999.99$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Blackhawks35c965.02$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.918645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Red Wings63c960.19$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.126955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blackhawks36c916.67$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Blackhawks36c869.44$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31324349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Blackhawks36c832.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.62650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Blackhawks13c814.27$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4313448.5%65 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Red Wings57c785$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.557354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Blackhawks13c780.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks36c764.68$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.761,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Blackhawks15c763.21$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1229926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x157b…5b8cbacked Blackhawks39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.540%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b7…d208backed Blackhawks39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x911d…9886backed Blackhawks39c670$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.350%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks35c668$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.921,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks27c662.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.191,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Blackhawks35c615.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5925045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blackhawks41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24621147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…5714backed Red Wings59c590.98$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.31070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9258…6458backed Blackhawks39c590$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc6d…156cbacked Blackhawks39c590$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Blackhawks37c580.75$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.0643944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Red Wings64c578.13$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.132065%13 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Blackhawks36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4c…be98backed Blackhawks39c550$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Blackhawks44c540.95$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6132650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x311e…9eb9backed Blackhawks36c534.72$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981a…3c59backed Blackhawks39c519$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…3b53backed Blackhawks36c510.28$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick37cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blackhawks4c451$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.891,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…aecebacked Red Wings61c430$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked Blackhawks35c422.52$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Blackhawks36c416$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7622248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea28…1cabbacked Red Wings61c410$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Blackhawks13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe044…1b1abacked Red Wings61c380$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1146…5eeebacked Red Wings61c360$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a6…3152backed Red Wings61c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dbc…907abacked Red Wings61c340$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.