NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf265ea79155be7df5de80de5650b03205d1400bebdd096a73335bf2615d887a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Under | 52c | 27,502$14,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,201.04 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 20,071$9,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,634 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,022$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.2 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 2,209$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.75 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 52c | 1,421$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.08 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 690.19$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.29 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 263$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 72c | 138.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…e723backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 48c | 81.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 41c | 53.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 52c | 27.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 48c | 27.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Over | 48c | 22.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Red Wings vs. BlackhawksRed Wings won
- Red Wings vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.