College Football · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d91ace7ecb4a1eefb53285cf8a01d0d4e9f9c3e3b07b4aa8ace70d1e5d47ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Stateof Nevada Wolf Pack, Utah State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Utah State | 76c | 13,471$10,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 6,185$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.31 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 3,998$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.42 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 1c | 3,109$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…063ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…11eabacked Utah State | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 2,626$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.33 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 1,762$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.06 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Utah State | 75c | 1,464$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 1,462$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 1,193$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.32 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah State | 75c | 1,078$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Utah State | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…4732backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 276$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah State | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 166.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…8645backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0c4abacked Utah State | 75c | 145$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Utah State | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 27c | 95.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 95.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Utah State | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 78.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…eb4abacked Utah State | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Utah State | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3655…7b1bbacked Utah State | 76c | 43.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…e6d4backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 26c | 41.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Utah State | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Utah State | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…6f3fbacked Utah State | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah Statethis page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State: O/U 52.5Over won
- O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: Utah State (-9.5)Utah State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.