TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No79c21,940$17,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,661.996,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No80c14,009$11,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.72,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes19c13,534$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.381,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Yes19c10,947$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes9c5,498$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.64,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bce…150bbacked Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9509845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes20c4,999$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8218948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes26c4,268$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1099446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes18c3,932$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.3968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…16a4backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes19c3,778$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71410426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0412649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Yes27c2,407$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c2,084$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.542,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No73c2,072$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.081,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes22c1,964$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4327741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes18c1,700$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.985339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.988343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0883…f9cbbacked Yes19c1,316$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes19c1,237$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes18c1,099$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.191,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes27c1,085$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.943043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfa…ad59backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes18c940$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.241437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No79c921.12$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.445556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Yes25c850.62$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes18c840$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.223531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Yes21c738.1$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553060%18 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No79c596.42$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No79c545.38$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.011,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8159…ed58backed Yes19c527.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed Yes17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes20c494.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.843531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a65…9e1cbacked Yes17c458.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes21c452.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No77c439.48$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.71,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a7…eb44backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes18c376.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd923…aed5backed Yes19c315.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605538.2%21 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab2…0ac3backed Yes18c300$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4795…0fb0backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c266$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ebf…d81dbacked Yes19c259.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Yes19c251.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.673740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes21c251.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5329238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ef…fd79backed Yes20c245.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfa…0f24backed Yes19c239.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.49333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes20c239.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.856454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No76c224.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3430739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes19c221.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.051216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-71.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes22c220.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.610751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes19c210$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.320425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422075%15 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes23c192.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes23c191.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Yes21c173.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41b…321dbacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302913.8%4 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3665…0212backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011444.7%51 W · 63 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes21c157.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f6…1e17backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e1…1d05backed Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6524…dbbbbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x847f…e3e6backed Yes19c130$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.71050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…696fbacked Yes18c130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.44744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Yes22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.43935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.