Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc4aee07482e43b2a48c30902375a170d3bb9a4b73b3858ea4da14f3eb7a7dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Panathinaikos, Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 29c | 1,451$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.35 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 19c | 1,400$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.52 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Panathinaikos | 71c | 988.88$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.34 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 876.19$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed Panathinaikos | 71c | 415$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Panathinaikos | 71c | 395.72$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 19c | 368.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 339.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 321.25$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…89acbacked Panathinaikos | 74c | 222.95$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 22c | 133.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 125.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35c | 101.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Panathinaikos | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 43.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…0591backed Panathinaikos | 78c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.