Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9000459a4b6f3de69a55a4fc63761d70da69d13d4279f565bca5b5e07eb8dc1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 1,663$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,199$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 1,043$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.51 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 899.78$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.94 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 44c | 854.17$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.68 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 43c | 712.15$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.3 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 31c | 637.84$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 395.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 67c | 297.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 8c | 295$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 287.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 73c | 241.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 27c | 197.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 74c | 135.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 106.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 57c | 87.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 85.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes | 35c | 81.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed No | 61c | 65.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 43c | 64.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 40c | 64.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 47c | 60.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 44c | 39.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed No | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 68c | 24.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 74c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 68c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 77c | 13.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 74c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.