Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf45c943dda7ac77b883a1150e631f6726a2622e2b52bc43044a5f4fb4e68a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +688.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 20c | 1,298$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 80c | 1,029$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 324.21$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 31c | 295$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 61c | 282.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 201.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 7c | 154.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 133.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 123.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 45c | 108.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 69c | 87.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 79.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 66c | 77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 53.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 72c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 51c | 25.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 58c | 24.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.