Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cab4fe2f0a38ca28ff2812d3b8f78b857afecd63d1405b084a00745fd9db71e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 4,631$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.71 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 2,875$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.53 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 66c | 2,190$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.48 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,772$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 1,581$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.93 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 26c | 791.38$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 753.94$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.9 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 15c | 653.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.61 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 35c | 589.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 16c | 562.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 466.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.58 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 3c | 410.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 35c | 360$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 24c | 312.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 53c | 301.72$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.12 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 20c | 293.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.75 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 290.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.37 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 35c | 282.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 14c | 279.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 254.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 26c | 224$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 218$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 198.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 186.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes | 34c | 150.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 128.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 22c | 123$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 33c | 121$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 45c | 93.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 22c | 75.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 48c | 74.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 34c | 54.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.