Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ea457fb30da1c06e486ba37d0a31c61b50d0273a6214be869907beccfb5cc9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 6,406$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.62 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,860$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 41c | 2,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 2,258$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.78 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 38c | 1,594$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.17 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 60c | 1,289$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.61 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 25c | 1,147$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.85 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 872.24$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.07 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 630.54$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.13 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 41c | 333$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 256.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 40c | 208$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 59c | 168.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 37c | 136$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…2ba7backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 106.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 36c | 60.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.