Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1f6e3f81a60cf1474f19efa93e64f60a8f46b7d868094c863a3eca8b7cab8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,064$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 956.72$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 325.88$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 230.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 218.94$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 19c | 208.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 151.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 144.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 40c | 113.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 15c | 102.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 86.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 84.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 74.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 78c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…d337backed No | 70c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.