Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22ab75e83ff059c0bfa9c264f361375f2b59a805c1b133a0a64876c0d3c48b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,795$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 2,516$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.48 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 1,957$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.22 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 56c | 1,438$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 11c | 1,221$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 64c | 1,168$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.6 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 42c | 1,152$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.76 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 1,011$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.41 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 782.28$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.39 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 42c | 593.68$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.58 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 61c | 533.47$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.18 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 430.23$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…c496backed Yes | 56c | 359.73$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 43c | 354$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 349.43$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 58c | 327.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 56c | 301.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 286.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 50c | 277.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 274$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 263.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 62c | 227.85$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 44c | 227.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 57c | 196.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…b2f1backed Yes | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Yes | 58c | 173.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 171.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 163.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 44c | 149.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 18c | 144.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 142.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 61c | 141.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 58c | 132.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ee…bbbabacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 45c | 114$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…9075backed Yes | 58c | 113.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…f159backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 43c | 109.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 42c | 77.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 44c | 76.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 57c | 72.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 41c | 65.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 41c | 63.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…0fbabacked Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 51c | 58.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…37dabacked Yes | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 52c | 45.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 59c | 45.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…dbf9backed No | 56c | 35.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Yes | 57c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 51c | 33.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 27.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…4e70backed Yes | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…1a69backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…e731backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…fef1backed Yes | 58c | 19.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.