NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49fc4e02f6fab1f7459b1d483ff5ab4c870591fb928832f72547e4574e22a237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Capitals, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jets | 47c | 38,805$18,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,421.59 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 52c | 32,350$16,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,822.14 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Jets | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jets | 48c | 19,051$9,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,908.21 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 53c | 13,748$7,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,324.07 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Capitals | 53c | 11,321$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Jets | 47c | 11,189$5,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.08 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets | 47c | 10,359$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,479.05 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Capitals | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Capitals | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Capitals | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.97 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 53c | 9,971$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Capitals | 7c | 9,439$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.54 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Capitals | 0c | 7,950$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jets | 46c | 6,410$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.4 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 53c | 6,024$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.71 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Capitals | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Jets | 45c | 4,978$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.13 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 35c | 4,741$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.73 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 53c | 4,621$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.45 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…194dbacked Capitals | 18c | 4,345$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jets | 46c | 3,260$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.4 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Capitals | 17c | 3,019$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.28 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Capitals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Capitals | 8c | 2,816$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.53 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Capitals | 52c | 2,659$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.77 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 2,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 54c | 2,455$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.69 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Capitals | 42c | 2,133$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.12 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 53c | 2,061$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.26 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Jets | 48c | 1,937$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.06 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Jets | 46c | 1,833$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.82 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 50c | 1,709$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Capitals | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jets | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Capitals | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 72c | 1,602$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Capitals | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Jets | 46c | 1,366$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Capitals | 18c | 1,028$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Capitals | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jets | 66c | 955$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 22c | 871.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jets | 68c | 830.09$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jets | 47c | 797.75$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.89 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Jets | 47c | 784$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.52 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 53c | 780$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Capitals | 54c | 653.7$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Jets | 76c | 638.07$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 55c | 613.22$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.27 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Jets | 47c | 609.15$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Jets | 48c | 605.75$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Jets | 66c | 602.12$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Capitals | 54c | 585.61$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.3 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Capitals | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Capitals | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Capitals | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Jets | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 29c | 540.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Capitals | 55c | 536.36$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets | 46c | 512.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jets | 64c | 501.43$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 51c | 500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Jets | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Jets | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 53c | 399.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Capitals | 54c | 371$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Jets | 47c | 354.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.87 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jets | 47c | 332$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Capitals | 54c | 328.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.23 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Capitals | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Capitals | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Capitals | 54c | 280$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets | 56c | 278.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Capitals | 22c | 274.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Capitals | 55c | 274.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Capitals | 52c | 260$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Capitals | 55c | 247.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Capitals | 53c | 234.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 55c | 229$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jets | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…7935backed Capitals | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Capitals | 24c | 218.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…33cfbacked Jets | 47c | 217.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Jets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Jets | 61c | 214.12$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Jets | 50c | 213$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Capitals | 29c | 211.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Jets | 46c | 209.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Capitals | 54c | 207.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Jets | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb96…7bbfbacked Capitals | 55c | 203.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfc…21c7backed Jets | 46c | 202.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Capitals | 28c | 201$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Jetsthis page
- Capitals vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.