MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f191a156b3e82fede16a91b9caa43c13ba4eceb5935adb3ae2a59c7ce8c6d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Colorado Rockies, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,682 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 4,194$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.55 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 1,633$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.89 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 1,412$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.93 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 1,014$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.54 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Colorado Rockies | 29c | 819.79$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.66 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 721$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.32 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 5c | 641.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 600.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 477.04$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 341.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.91 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 324.74$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.57 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 309.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 221$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 177.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Colorado Rockies | 71c | 157.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 146$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…6a51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 141.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 141.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 92.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 74.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 66.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 62.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 61.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 48.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Colorado Rockies | 30c | 46.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…8b48backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 45.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 44.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 44.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Colorado Rockies | 30c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Colorado Rockies | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 38.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 23.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 22.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…6f2abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Colorado Rockies | 79c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.