Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e2e124b3556fd070c5959159b3db0e4d721def97cbcb6157d6183f9216bea30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 11,316$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 6,865$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.78 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,323$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.38 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,272$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.86 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 80c | 2,828$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.55 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 19c | 2,104$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.82 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,010$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 19c | 626.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 20c | 599.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 3c | 571.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 80c | 485.97$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 386.59$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 4c | 386.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 346.67$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…34a5backed Yes | 4c | 308$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 20c | 292.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 18c | 270$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 20c | 220.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 19c | 132.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 80c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 20c | 113.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 20c | 103.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 20c | 102.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 18c | 93.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 20c | 53.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.