Us Politics · resolved market
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742a4343d891c74d092bcf7c5cd51aac2e7149045d0ea5edc84e52d49a135218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed No | 1c | 8,750$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f94…380ebacked No | 68c | 6,690$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…920ebacked Yes | 32c | 4,828$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 0c | 2,998$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…bfe4backed No | 5c | 1,898$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed Yes | 32c | 1,252$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 1,193$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.07 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…d0ddbacked No | 44c | 1,053$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed Yes | 71c | 1,041$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…b5a6backed No | 23c | 1,037$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 11c | 999.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 30c | 999.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.78 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 44c | 650$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 65c | 613.21$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…7e15backed Yes | 34c | 606.29$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 37c | 550$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed Yes | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…701cbacked Yes | 78c | 499.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 19c | 489.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 45c | 460.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.81 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…9536backed No | 35c | 431$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 22c | 421.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 3c | 397.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 71c | 372.25$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 40c | 366.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.63 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 3c | 352.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 40c | 350.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…fa4cbacked No | 6c | 338.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…8a13backed No | 6c | 324.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 75c | 312.15$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…fbc2backed No | 52c | 306$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 36c | 255.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…859ebacked No | 17c | 255.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…5e6ebacked Yes | 40c | 251.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…f2b9backed Yes | 64c | 251.22$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…d8e2backed No | 80c | 250.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eff…d203backed No | 13c | 245$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 76c | 228$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked No | 66c | 210$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 25c | 199.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 198.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 189.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 26c | 155$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…9b59backed No | 65c | 153.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 64c | 135.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked No | 11c | 133.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…68e3backed No | 38c | 130.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…7c38backed Yes | 27c | 128.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…5025backed Yes | 40c | 120.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Yes | 21c | 112.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…3267backed Yes | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 100.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…ce10backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 53c | 94.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 71c | 92.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 62c | 90.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…0646backed Yes | 37c | 84.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 62c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1be…36acbacked No | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…d6bcbacked No | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…bb12backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8a…3082backed No | 78c | 67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 77c | 66.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…c084backed Yes | 36c | 64.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…da9dbacked No | 64c | 64.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed No | 70c | 63.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…1c9dbacked Yes | 25c | 63.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce9…9e9cbacked Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…1211backed Yes | 43c | 57.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…825bbacked No | 18c | 54.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…31efbacked No | 33c | 53.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…be17backed No | 66c | 51.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…7eccbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 49.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe409…aa26backed No | 24c | 48.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…6d8dbacked Yes | 40c | 45.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…a7a1backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6400backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…558fbacked Yes | 68c | 39.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9c…fdf9backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cb…4dbcbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb1…2630backed Yes | 28c | 35.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…0441backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…b1a8backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 65c | 26.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 62c | 24.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 60c | 22.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 63c | 21.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6143…938fbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…2841backed No | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…0c39backed Yes | 65c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.