Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b702788e74f827352222494453fbac26ee507f6829b50554d68b82490aaffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 19c | 46,981$8,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,139.66 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…2a75backed No | 2c | 19,362$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 70c | 12,941$9,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,052.26 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 74c | 12,157$9,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.99 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 15c | 11,147$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,457.99 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 21c | 8,936$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,055.54 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 8,099$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,878.91 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 66c | 7,948$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.61 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 27c | 7,367$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,405.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 25c | 6,087$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,537.18 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 4c | 5,811$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.15 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 4,761$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 12c | 4,407$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.26 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…bad9backed No | 12c | 4,300$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 74c | 4,092$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 19c | 3,760$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 5c | 3,584$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.27 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 16c | 3,555$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.5 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 14c | 3,462$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 14c | 3,340$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.81 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 7c | 3,156$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 9c | 3,152$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.96 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 6c | 3,089$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.74 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 24c | 3,004$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.07 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 66c | 2,905$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…fee9backed No | 72c | 2,772$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 73c | 2,649$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 76c | 2,600$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.99 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.92 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…e1e4backed No | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 46c | 2,473$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.87 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 47c | 2,458$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.56 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 19c | 2,438$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.93 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 3c | 2,349$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 29c | 2,114$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.95 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 6c | 2,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 13c | 1,832$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,776$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 62c | 1,746$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.21 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…df72backed Yes | 22c | 1,660$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Yes | 38c | 1,551$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…762ebacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 47c | 1,500$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 40c | 1,334$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…8c68backed Yes | 15c | 1,321$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 69c | 1,240$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.99 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 30c | 1,200$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.35 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…882dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,167$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 34c | 1,152$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 3c | 1,127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,105$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked Yes | 78c | 1,080$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed Yes | 8c | 1,073$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…be53backed Yes | 33c | 1,053$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Yes | 27c | 1,023$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…a16abacked No | 26c | 945.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…6e00backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…833abacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 46c | 890$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.44 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 63c | 883.95$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.89 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 6c | 819.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 55c | 811.63$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.65 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…6aefbacked Yes | 9c | 810.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +245.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed No | 5c | 806.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed No | 2c | 750$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed No | 80c | 725.12$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…5975backed Yes | 14c | 714$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 709.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.22 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 30c | 705.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…ab37backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 17c | 695.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.69 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…5ddabacked Yes | 8c | 664.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 32cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 637.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Yes | 10c | 628.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed Yes | 45c | 626.01$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.01 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked Yes | 14c | 605.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 48c | 586.64$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.7 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eff…e593backed No | 77c | 576.62$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked No | 68c | 572.45$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 79c | 550$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 4c | 548.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.41 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed No | 12c | 548.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 523.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.7 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…69e5backed Yes | 13c | 507.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 10c | 499.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.99 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed No | 58c | 498$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4d…ffb0backed Yes | 10c | 494.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +919.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…46bbbacked No | 60c | 481.51$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…c898backed No | 63c | 476.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 58c | 469.18$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.12 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…fd57backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 9c | 444$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.