Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3186a6c280254ae5cba7ada48908ae39c65874ba69d936eb2b26c0db227fc133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 29c | 985.06$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.05 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 956.26$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.35 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 75c | 600$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.97 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 75c | 499.68$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…266cbacked No | 72c | 375$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 25c | 362.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 353.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 349.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 43c | 344.76$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 300.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 29c | 292.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 40c | 291.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…c974backed No | 9c | 284.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 43c | 168.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 164.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 24c | 154.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x376a…d270backed No | 43c | 143.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 48 | 89.6%43 W · 5 L | +14.9wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +78%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 132.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 131.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed No | 10c | 111$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 75c | 109.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 102.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…d90cbacked Yes | 29c | 99.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 73c | 94.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 93.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 71c | 88.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 69c | 86.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 69c | 86.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 35c | 84.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 36c | 84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 34c | 83.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 39c | 81.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 75.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 19c | 74.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 70c | 73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…3dfdbacked No | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 148 | 78.4%116 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 76c | 65.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…8ca0backed Yes | 79c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 39c | 64.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed No | 73c | 60.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 56.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 77c | 51.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 78c | 51.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 42c | 50.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…d64fbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 191 | 71.7%137 W · 54 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 26c | 49.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 22c | 47.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 43c | 46.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 69c | 46.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 57c | 43.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…9ad9backed No | 66c | 43.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 29c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 65c | 36.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 35.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…61f9backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed No | 70c | 33.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…da50backed No | 64c | 33.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 72c | 32.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 49c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 46c | 28.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…33d4backed No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 220 | 64.5%142 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 53c | 23.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 71c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…3ee3backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1427backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…70e8backed No | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…ce1cbacked No | 64c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 72c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.