Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e8717599fd5d759eafdc7afb338b14e2acde5e3497a8bdf61f58f019870419e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 31c | 13,828$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 13,210$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.37 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 9,181$6,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.15 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 31c | 7,985$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.49 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 31c | 7,618$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.62 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 70c | 5,716$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.8 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.99 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 71c | 2,719$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.63 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 66c | 2,714$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.1 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 32c | 2,523$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed No | 32c | 2,020$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,652$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.01 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,408$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 69c | 1,358$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 72c | 1,356$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.69 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…fa89backed No | 34c | 1,099$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 957.85$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.42 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 66c | 896.85$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.93 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 798.81$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…33d4backed No | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed Yes | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 634$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 75c | 600$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 66c | 564.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.94 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 74c | 559.66$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 34c | 528.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 33c | 462.69$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 67c | 462.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 32c | 449.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 69c | 436.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 67c | 379$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 32c | 352.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 67c | 317.02$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 33c | 302.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cef…0d49backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 32c | 299.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 68c | 269.88$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 32c | 241.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 30c | 231.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 27c | 224$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 33c | 221$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…917ebacked Yes | 70c | 217.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…1db6backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…b129backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 78c | 172.54$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…8864backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 141$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 80c | 113$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 66c | 111$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 31c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2933…2e06backed Yes | 68c | 85.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 30c | 74.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…e539backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed No | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Yes | 68c | 41.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b0…7a8fbacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 68c | 31.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 38c | 30.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…c97dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…fa6cbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 78c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…6bc0backed Yes | 62c | 22.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Yes | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-10-18?No won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.