MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Rangers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8404bb162c250fb940efb3273d515ce10c77f7b98d495cf11291ca8c52bce297

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rangersof Astros, Rangers
Resolved: Sep 6, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,436,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,411,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,436,880 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers	54c	1,116,813$607,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509,036.8	380	43.4%165 W · 215 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros	45c	815,508$367,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367,267.78	1,328	51.4%682 W · 646 L	+25.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros	43c	78,743$34,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,196.98	1,530	50.5%772 W · 758 L	+20.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros	45c	77,628$34,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,932.6	359	52.4%188 W · 171 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Astros	43c	49,154$20,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,945.26	784	45.3%355 W · 429 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers	55c	33,688$18,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,095.3	338	45.9%155 W · 183 L	-15.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Astros	55c	29,915$16,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,351.19	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros	46c	28,920$13,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,237.89	439	49.4%217 W · 222 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Astros	45c	27,139$12,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,176.9	218	47.7%104 W · 114 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Astros	46c	26,337$12,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,171.11	302	55.6%168 W · 134 L	+14.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Astros	55c	22,000$12,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,100	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Astros	46c	19,578$9,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,082.99	1,591	50.3%801 W · 790 L	+68.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Astros	32c	16,563$5,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,375.26	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Astros	40c	14,391$5,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,817.7	2,274	43.2%983 W · 1,291 L	+43.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Astros	46c	12,500$5,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,750	564	51.1%288 W · 276 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros	46c	11,000$5,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,060	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rangers	46c	10,217$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,517.18	217	40.1%87 W · 130 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Astros	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	286	46.5%133 W · 153 L	-15.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Astros	55c	9,701$5,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,332	196	49.5%97 W · 99 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Astros	34c	8,589$2,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,902.84	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros	47c	7,940$3,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,693.85	2,470	52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Astros	51c	7,914$3,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,998.28	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Astros	45c	4,982$2,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,242.08	171	56.1%96 W · 75 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Astros	26c	4,412$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Astros	30c	3,928$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.17	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Rangers	69c	3,756$2,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160.03	113	45.1%51 W · 62 L	-16.4wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Astros	55c	3,472$1,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,909.48	389	49.1%191 W · 198 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Astros	47c	3,300$1,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,551	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+38%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros	38c	3,227$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.06	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Astros	46c	2,898$1,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333	241	54.4%131 W · 110 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1295…640dbacked Astros	34c	2,739$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.26	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Astros	52c	2,698$1,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,405.88	731	49.4%361 W · 370 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d34…b998backed Astros	25c	2,543$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Astros	48c	2,365$1,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.72	207	47.8%99 W · 108 L	-11.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers	48c	2,333$1,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,211.92	981	49.8%489 W · 492 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Astros	52c	2,307$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,196.9	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	-13.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Astros	49c	2,158$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.5	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Astros	36c	1,999$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.72	764	56%428 W · 336 L	+32.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Astros	34c	1,780$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.09	439	46%202 W · 237 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Astros	36c	1,691$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.51	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Astros	29c	1,662$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479	255	48.6%124 W · 131 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Rangers	47c	1,600$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848	390	41%160 W · 230 L	-22.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	959	30%288 W · 671 L	-24.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Astros	51c	1,407$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.53	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Astros	46c	1,339$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.41	1,097	50.1%550 W · 547 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astros	34c	1,307$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.02	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astros	47c	1,297$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.46	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Rangers	47c	1,212$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.36	577	44.7%258 W · 319 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Astros	45c	1,200$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	240	40.8%98 W · 142 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Astros	49c	1,156$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.35	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Astros	48c	1,100$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.36	133	59.4%79 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d0…2cc2backed Rangers	45c	1,090$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	49cpaid	-63%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Rangers	62c	1,083$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.68	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b32…19d9backed Astros	55c	1,080$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x696d…ebf8backed Astros	55c	1,070$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.5	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…4d41backed Rangers	45c	1,060$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6979…d7a2backed Rangers	53c	1,032$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.3	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Astros	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers	45c	893.18$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.44	1,293	46.6%603 W · 690 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Astros	31c	882.1$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.49	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros	35c	864.7$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	255	51%130 W · 125 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Rangers	61c	821.64$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.64	230	60%138 W · 92 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Astros	54c	817$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.18	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Rangers	51c	810.92$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.35	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers	46c	800$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432	832	48%399 W · 433 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Astros	40c	766.45$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.38	961	33.9%326 W · 635 L	-38.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Astros	49c	724$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.21	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Rangers	50c	723$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.5	207	48.8%101 W · 106 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1466…23d9backed Rangers	62c	645.16$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.16	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Astros	52c	633.99$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.5	1,212	52.1%631 W · 581 L	+21.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Astros	52c	600$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	326	51.5%168 W · 158 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Astros	43c	598.91$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.29	1,358	45.9%624 W · 734 L	+41.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Astros	55c	590$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.5	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Astros	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Rangers	51c	562.93$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.42	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40f0…f925backed Astros	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Rangers	50c	539$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.5	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros	19c	530.68$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.83	424	52.1%221 W · 203 L	+15.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros	47c	530$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.1	436	54.8%239 W · 197 L	+8.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Astros	52c	500$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.5	221	42.1%93 W · 128 L	-16.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf012…c29dbacked Astros	49c	473.04$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Rangers	50c	438.8$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.4	513	34.5%177 W · 336 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers	49c	431$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.23	631	52.6%332 W · 299 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa7…91b9backed Rangers	47c	430.11$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.11	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+115.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Astros	50c	428.4$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.65	850	47.4%403 W · 447 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Astros	12c	401.48$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	1,180	7.2%85 W · 1,095 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Astros	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	1,360	44.3%602 W · 758 L	+45.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers	46c	399.99$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.99	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2729…e171backed Astros	37c	395.1$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.87	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.8wins	-0.32per pick	48cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Astros	49c	362.65$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.07	809	55.5%449 W · 360 L	+12.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Astros	54c	308.28$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.5	141	53.9%76 W · 65 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fe…4ef4backed Astros	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Astros	44c	276.24$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.9	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros	37c	269.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	391	60.4%236 W · 155 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Rangers	57c	263.16$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.16	232	48.3%112 W · 120 L	-13.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers	58c	250$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	2,203	50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L	+29.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Rangers	66c	227.27$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.27	112	57.1%64 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Astros	52c	226.75$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.35	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Astros	54c	222.22$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Astros	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Astros vs. Rangersthis page
Astros vs. Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Astros (-1.5)Rangers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Astros vs. Rangers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event