TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Yes62c5,798$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.1117842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No36c3,023$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.2224647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…1474backed Yes69c2,426$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes64c2,000$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.953951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c1,985$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.044,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Yes51c1,971$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9661225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No3c1,872$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3628731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No49c1,780$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.43633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67a4…2da1backed No38c1,513$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d99…91afbacked Yes65c1,504$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No29c1,442$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.168538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes75c1,391$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4810366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008940.4%36 W · 53 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes54c999$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.545740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No30c910.91$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2723622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No36c800.46$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9221016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c640.95$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Yes63c629.21$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.81785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No32c625.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.184645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes61c599.98$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed No48c519.5$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.062934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes64c509.38$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c3…8f47backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1853100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+209.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80e2…961ebacked No37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid+20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes64c490.57$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.158240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes62c489.6$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.058960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes61c426.55$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.553145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes67c424$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.923953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaca3…cb95backed Yes63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1483240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No49c367.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes70c330.91$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+62.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed No28c271.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No37c266.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5910033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked No39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+57%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No38c232.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.27160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2411…e222backed Yes64c223.44$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd957…a584backed Yes73c206.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6222749.3%112 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5edf…2f34backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc4…701abacked No38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.72540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+142.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x385b…03c9backed Yes53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10f1…958ebacked Yes69c165.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes64c162.34$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.442544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7317240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x411b…a821backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…92f2backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f98…bdb8backed No37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4632…c01fbacked Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9641…2d2bbacked No37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ea…35a3backed Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed No38c132$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed No38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507250%36 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013247.7%63 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.056018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6b…33d4backed Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f32…f204backed No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed No37c99.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.992420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No31c98.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.413638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes63c80.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9540355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d6…d617backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f4…d10cbacked Yes64c78.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.281118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-31.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5abd…dfcfbacked Yes63c72.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes64c60.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.616036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9511951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.954835.4%17 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed No39c50.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…0f8cbacked Yes64c42.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.234630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…b6debacked Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47ff…4339backed Yes63c31.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c39…b289backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.612327.6%34 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf7…7f5dbacked Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No35c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1578927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked Yes61c21.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.638554.1%46 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf307…5f69backed Yes68c16.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1700…54d9backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.633470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.