Fifa International · resolved market
Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab54e0e177d60a542c1276973ceb7c42af530ea0fe78bbe3c7953714eb87d1a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 72c | 10,748$7,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.44 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 28c | 10,739$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.87 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 2,974$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.84 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 1,633$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.98 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 1,594$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.94 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 31c | 975.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 29c | 749.97$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.49 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 694.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 31c | 650.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 31c | 644.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 31c | 606.45$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 555.27$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Yes | 30c | 495.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 73c | 449.98$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed No | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 71c | 275.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 73c | 270.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 66c | 260.12$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…5e6bbacked No | 71c | 203.07$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 31c | 161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 68c | 151.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…744cbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 140.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 134.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 29c | 109.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…33d4backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…019fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…8ebdbacked Yes | 30c | 98.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Yes | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 71c | 66.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…7c7ebacked No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 31c | 64.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 31c | 64.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2153…69c2backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…05ffbacked Yes | 32c | 46.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4428backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…42efbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 71c | 37.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…8df4backed Yes | 31c | 32.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…450dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…7690backed No | 71c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 69c | 27.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…a7dabacked No | 71c | 26.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…d449backed No | 71c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked No | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…1d4abacked No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Kosovo vs. Slovenia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.