Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052f2f74f3a3805415165db3d582e80d0acd27ac900b75885b6fc00f62e32d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 40c | 27,590$11,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,036 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 40c | 9,386$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.06 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 68c | 9,325$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 38c | 8,592$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 61c | 6,030$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.53 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 5,067$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 63c | 4,843$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.86 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 33c | 4,793$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.55 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 4,166$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.84 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 39c | 2,603$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.03 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 39c | 1,530$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…2b82backed Yes | 40c | 1,496$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…2f53backed No | 62c | 1,496$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,453$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.94 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,431$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…0272backed Yes | 40c | 1,419$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…6e75backed No | 61c | 1,419$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…5093backed Yes | 40c | 1,417$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…422ebacked No | 61c | 1,417$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,299$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.41 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 40c | 770$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 60c | 627.95$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…2aeabacked No | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…f4f4backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 61c | 599.98$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…6bbbbacked No | 74c | 574.66$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 26c | 574.66$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 37c | 556$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…567cbacked Yes | 39c | 425.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 42c | 285.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 39c | 245.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2b5cbacked Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 38c | 215.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 56c | 183.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…9283backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Yes | 39c | 153.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 59c | 141.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…71cdbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 59c | 70.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 40c | 60.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…0e8bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 56c | 46.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…d671backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc6…1327backed No | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…a149backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…fbf1backed Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…ac5abacked Yes | 42c | 31.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 63c | 29.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…9486backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 60c | 23.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…eeb0backed No | 61c | 23.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Kosovo vs. Slovenia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.