Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1581b6855bf32724fbf114496ff8c0d50b038c270e21af9c7b86bee847fbe30b

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,099 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	44c	24,748$10,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,889.26	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-7.7wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	57c	10,142$5,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,362.72	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under	57c	10,000$5,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,300	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	356	52.8%188 W · 168 L	+15.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	43c	9,660$4,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,153.8	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	78c	2,245$1,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.96	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.98	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under	57c	1,964$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.54	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…58ebbacked Over	30c	1,648$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	56c	1,570$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.37	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	62c	1,250$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.95	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under	57c	1,250$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.5	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	56c	1,101$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.51	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Under	70c	1,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	64c	798.71$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.08	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over	44c	750$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Over	60c	656.15$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.02	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8887…c607backed Over	51c	593.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	59cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over	43c	545.61$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.61	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under	57c	526.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…6232backed Over	39c	505$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.2	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under	41c	499.99$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+3.7wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under	56c	465.75$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.75	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Over	35c	400$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Over	36c	365.66$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over	44c	340.91$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.9wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Under	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over	44c	283.93$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.93	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over	44c	273.94$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.53	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad06…2dfabacked Under	57c	251$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.93	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb29c…8e6dbacked Under	59c	250$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under	57c	242.11$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.11	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03b7…430cbacked Under	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	36c	196.56$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.76	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Over	45c	175.73$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.94	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	54c	174.56$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.49	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over	43c	165.09$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.39	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fab…8850backed Under	60c	165$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+62.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	64c	105$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.8	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Over	39c	101$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.39	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under	56c	90.91$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+84.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under	50c	81.82$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	44c	79.55$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c00…4b34backed Under	63c	78.66$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.1	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over	40c	75.32$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.13	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	61c	75.31$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.61	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over	29c	72.69$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Under	56c	71.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	27c	70$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Under	57c	68.42$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.42	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Over	44c	68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	222	44.1%98 W · 124 L	+19.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	77c	55.5$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	51c	53.34$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.08	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	67c	52.3$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.26	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x394a…536ebacked Over	44c	51.63$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over	52c	48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	120	55%66 W · 54 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Over	42c	46.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…51d9backed Over	43c	46.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under	57c	45.77$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.68	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	140	45%63 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	60.9%67 W · 43 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc2…c103backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-26%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0daa…f8d7backed Under	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…3060backed Under	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-47%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	45c	41.47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da1…4e5fbacked Over	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6952…40d8backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	61cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3fe…29a1backed Under	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	43c	33.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	228	34.2%78 W · 150 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Over	43c	25.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f55…e528backed Over	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under	56c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Under	57c	24.56$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-8.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under	57c	21.05$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.05	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under	57c	18.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.94	144	56.3%81 W · 63 L	+13.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c5c…3740backed Under	70c	16.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.96	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event