Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x871a2145a735bb4b55123b2fbee3b1bc68a10db8e6e2fecff4e745685f30d54c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 925.33$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.76 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Yes | 49c | 800.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.04 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 52c | 564.19$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.59 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 482.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 291$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…3d5abacked No | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 37c | 210.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 201$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed No | 64c | 162.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 49c | 124$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 88.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 47c | 63.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 56c | 48.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 45c | 44.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…85efbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.